Gita Gopinath, First Deputy Managing Director, discussed the evolving landscape of global economic ties at a Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research event focusing on the future of the International Monetary System (IMS).
She highlighted the significant shifts occurring since the Cold War’s end, accelerated by recent events like the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Nations are increasingly assessing their trade partnerships with both economic and national security in mind, leading to a realignment of foreign direct investment flows along geopolitical lines.
Additionally, some countries are reconsidering their dependence on the dollar for international transactions and as a reserve currency.
Despite the complexity of tracking currency usage in international trade and finance, which often faces data delays, recent findings indicate that the US dollar still holds a commanding position.
According to data from SWIFT, the dollar constitutes over 80 percent of trade finance, a dominance underscored by its continued use in commodity trade settlements.
Moreover, it makes up nearly 60 percent of foreign exchange reserves, even as there is a slow shift toward diversifying these reserves into non-traditional currencies like the Australian and Canadian dollars.